Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.987314 4.268406 4.568763 4.915183 5.305735 5.734827 6.245262
2025-08-17 3.459778 3.837124 4.264649 4.790800 5.429371 6.190860 7.186120
2025-08-24 3.154667 3.580392 4.081870 4.727368 5.553704 6.602508 8.081790
2025-08-31 2.980256 3.446147 4.012744 4.770267 5.786344 7.151458 9.223220
2025-09-07 2.830047 3.321658 3.935187 4.781690 5.963328 7.633027 10.346045
2025-09-14 2.640281 3.130166 3.752350 4.629676 5.889395 7.736090 10.896404
2025-09-21 2.499574 2.990782 3.624843 4.537373 5.883500 7.929326 11.619936
2025-09-28 2.392309 2.887325 3.536175 4.488471 5.930799 8.203382 12.533686
2025-10-05 2.311982 2.814126 3.482341 4.482448 6.038370 8.583940 13.730831
2025-10-12 2.267944 2.786443 3.488095 4.561666 6.284139 9.230194 15.639468
2025-10-19 2.222045 2.753041 3.482580 4.621626 6.502583 9.860319 17.727342
2025-10-26 2.159984 2.693739 3.435852 4.613327 6.603653 10.285217 19.486169
2025-11-02 2.075781 2.601689 3.339595 4.525061 6.565909 10.450016 20.693994
2025-11-09 1.991651 2.506737 3.235036 4.417506 6.485470 10.520476 21.693834
2025-11-16 1.927688 2.437897 3.165693 4.361892 6.492717 10.775637 23.371500
2025-11-23 1.892612 2.408921 3.154192 4.399593 6.674917 11.443459 26.774745
2025-11-30 1.853019 2.371533 3.127670 4.409626 6.804820 12.019026 30.287673
2025-12-07 1.781120 2.284192 3.020617 4.275965 6.641527 11.867527 30.822861
2025-12-14 1.725803 2.219600 2.946321 4.194646 6.575539 11.947442 32.453158
2025-12-21 1.682736 2.171673 2.895892 4.151513 6.581935 12.211024 35.164206
2025-12-28 1.650694 2.139081 2.868084 4.146198 6.665029 12.691567 39.477882
2026-01-04 1.636958 2.133355 2.882286 4.216060 6.912619 13.677778 48.112033
2026-01-11 1.620098 2.122191 2.887075 4.268877 7.129583 14.639780 58.717011